Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 6.878106 7.949115 9.090832 10.394070 11.835934 13.377862 15.146882
2025-07-13 5.591861 7.098253 8.815885 10.901014 13.344797 16.099222 19.418708
2025-07-20 4.812139 6.646574 8.865988 11.704949 15.193590 19.293934 24.427709
2025-07-27 4.161397 6.221921 8.854680 12.383184 16.900811 22.401906 29.510233
2025-08-03 3.450302 5.589722 8.475442 12.520771 17.903530 24.674594 33.676079
2025-08-10 2.757717 4.857361 7.850525 12.237720 18.296957 26.157137 36.886372
2025-08-17 2.230567 4.267863 7.332169 12.016205 18.710882 27.639671 40.116745
2025-08-24 1.840453 3.816855 6.945570 11.918035 19.249405 29.272237 43.569775
2025-08-31 1.524295 3.427105 6.594547 11.819809 19.751841 30.846161 46.972039
2025-09-07 1.368758 3.290056 6.621445 12.282188 21.072799 33.585567 52.034620
2025-09-14 1.166079 3.025576 6.401025 12.326283 21.756635 35.433909 55.906680
2025-09-21 0.928445 2.640843 5.921429 11.899237 21.680459 36.165172 58.209583
2025-09-28 0.718335 2.268398 5.420977 11.401750 21.478849 36.729199 60.339453
2025-10-05 0.657297 2.220505 5.522055 11.943000 22.955699 39.840072 66.246947
2025-10-12 0.633707 2.258891 5.794291 12.803025 24.987841 43.853926 73.586386
2025-10-19 0.597795 2.258426 5.986665 13.528171 26.825590 47.624879 80.662637
2025-10-26 0.516358 2.117083 5.870871 13.674800 27.698105 49.931834 85.617121
2025-11-02 0.414333 1.886712 5.532954 13.371567 27.782597 51.003103 88.733612
2025-11-09 0.334080 1.693106 5.245545 13.134256 27.956365 52.205375 92.062702
2025-11-16 0.274655 1.544387 5.037163 13.029039 28.344869 53.746894 95.930246
2025-11-23 0.224838 1.408949 4.839026 12.923797 28.719970 55.267994 99.791605
2025-11-30 0.206994 1.389710 4.927556 13.418741 30.203581 58.637887 106.606099
2025-12-07 0.174261 1.295788 4.810283 13.465906 30.859469 60.654112 111.330594